Tennessee State
OVC · 5-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#75
−2.5 pts · likely #54–98
Strength of schedule
25.4
#93 of 128
Strength of victory
17.9
#72
Record SOS
0.454
Opp. 43.1% · Opp. opp. 49.9%
Remaining SOS
9.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 24-14 | −24.6 | 0.0 | 0.011 | 4 | −13.0 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 27-25 | +7.2 | −2.7 | 0.381 | 2 | +6.1 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-20 | +11.0 | +2.7 | 0.626 | 1 | +2.6 |
| 6 | at Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.090
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Notre DameFBS · L 3-56
- Wk 8: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 54-0