Penn
Ivy · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 64% of the time
Power
#41
+5.3 pts · likely #23–65
Strength of schedule
26.6
#86 of 128
Strength of victory
28.1
#34
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 47.3% · Opp. opp. 54.9%
Remaining SOS
49.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Penn. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Colgate | W 20-6 | −2.4 | +2.6 | 0.275 | 2 | +13.2 |
| 4 | at Bucknell | W 37-21 | −6.2 | +2.6 | 0.196 | 3 | +11.9 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 20-23 OT | +2.4 | −2.6 | 0.268 | 2 | −2.3 |
| 6 | vs Georgetown | W 42-39 OT | −5.7 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Harvard · p 0.660
- Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.325