Dartmouth
Ivy · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#51
+3.2 pts · likely #30–74
Strength of schedule
38.6
#32 of 128
Strength of victory
28.9
#28
Record SOS
0.537
Opp. 53.1% · Opp. opp. 54.9%
Remaining SOS
24.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dartmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at New Hampshire | L 7-24 | +10.4 | +2.6 | 0.606 | 1 | −4.3 |
| 4 | vs Lehigh | W 34-17 | −6.0 | −2.6 | 0.117 | 3 | +8.3 |
| 5 | at Penn | W 23-20 OT | +6.5 | +2.6 | 0.501 | 1 | +10.8 |
| 6 | vs Yale | L 24-31 | +8.5 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Cornell · p 0.162
- Wk 12: at Brown · p 0.320