Colgate
Patriot · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#79
−3.3 pts · likely #57–99
Strength of schedule
40.4
#21 of 128
Strength of victory
35.6
#11
Record SOS
0.595
Opp. 63.4% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
21.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Villanova | L 19-42 | +16.1 | +2.6 | 0.745 | 1 | −5.0 |
| 3 | vs Penn | L 6-20 | +4.7 | −2.6 | 0.320 | 2 | −11.3 |
| 4 | at Holy Cross | L 7-47 | +12.6 | +2.6 | 0.663 | 1 | −19.4 |
| 5 | at Cornell | W 35-25 | −1.5 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.110
- Wk 12: vs Fordham · p 0.320
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-65