Bucknell
Patriot · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#97
−6.6 pts · likely #70–110
Strength of schedule
32.8
#59 of 128
Strength of victory
23.8
#51
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 56.9% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
9.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs VMI | W 21-13 | −7.2 | −2.6 | 0.101 | 3 | −1.4 |
| 4 | vs Penn | L 21-37 | +4.8 | −2.6 | 0.325 | 2 | −13.3 |
| 5 | at Lafayette | L 22-56 | +5.1 | +2.6 | 0.465 | 2 | −25.4 |
| 6 | vs Holy Cross | L 27-55 | +13.3 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Georgetown · p 0.135
- Wk 12: at Marist · p 0.060
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at James MadisonFBS · L 3-38