Lafayette
Patriot · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 19% of the time
Power
#40
+6.1 pts · likely #18–62
Strength of schedule
31.4
#67 of 128
Strength of victory
34.0
#16
Record SOS
0.504
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
42.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Sacred Heart | W 19-14 | −13.6 | +2.6 | 0.087 | 4 | −4.4 |
| 3 | vs Columbia | W 24-3 | +0.4 | −2.6 | 0.224 | 3 | +17.2 |
| 4 | vs Monmouth | W 28-20 | +11.6 | −2.6 | 0.502 | 1 | +15.6 |
| 5 | vs Bucknell | W 56-22 | −4.8 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Fordham · p 0.320
- Wk 12: at Lehigh · p 0.190
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.768
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at DukeFBS · L 7-42