Villanova
CAA · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 14% of the time
Power
#5
+15.5 pts · likely #3–23
Strength of schedule
34.5
#49 of 128
Strength of victory
30.3
#23
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 47.8% · Opp. opp. 60.1%
Remaining SOS
62.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lehigh | W 38-10 | −5.6 | +2.6 | 0.206 | 3 | +24.3 |
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 42-19 | −3.1 | −2.6 | 0.159 | 3 | +17.2 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 35-9 | +6.8 | −2.6 | 0.373 | 2 | +28.5 |
| 5 | at UAlbany | L 10-31 | +11.8 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Towson · p 0.246
- Wk 12: at Delaware · p 0.768
- Wk 14: vs Youngstown State · p 0.539
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.945
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UCFFBS · L 14-48