UAlbany
CAA · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 9.0% of the time
Power
#8
+13.4 pts · likely #4–31
Strength of schedule
40.2
#24 of 128
Strength of victory
37.3
#7
Record SOS
0.581
Opp. 61.2% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
51.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UAlbany. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Fordham | W 34-13 | +5.8 | −2.6 | 0.348 | 2 | +22.9 |
| 4 | at Morgan State | W 23-17 OT | −4.3 | +2.6 | 0.233 | 3 | +2.3 |
| 5 | vs Villanova | W 31-10 | +18.7 | −2.6 | 0.686 | 1 | +33.9 |
| 6 | at Towson | W 24-17 | +1.0 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.080
- Wk 12: vs Monmouth · p 0.472
- Wk 14: vs Richmond · p 0.357
- Wk 15: at Idaho · p 0.708
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.945
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 17-21
- Wk 2: at Hawai'iFBS · L 20-31