Morgan State
MEAC · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#77
−3.2 pts · likely #56–100
Strength of schedule
38.5
#34 of 128
Strength of victory
27.5
#37
Record SOS
0.542
Opp. 57.8% · Opp. opp. 47.0%
Remaining SOS
20.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at South Carolina State · p 0.149
- Wk 12: at Howard · p 0.251
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at AkronFBS · L 21-24