Yale
Ivy · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#27
+9.4 pts · likely #10–48
Strength of schedule
27.9
#80 of 128
Strength of victory
25.9
#45
Record SOS
0.504
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 54.7%
Remaining SOS
49.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Holy Cross | L 24-49 | +11.7 | −2.6 | 0.504 | 1 | −14.5 |
| 4 | vs Cornell | L 21-23 | −4.9 | −2.6 | 0.132 | 3 | −7.8 |
| 5 | vs Morgan State | W 45-3 | +0.2 | −2.6 | 0.220 | 3 | +29.2 |
| 6 | at Dartmouth | W 31-24 | +3.8 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Princeton · p 0.458
- Wk 12: vs Harvard · p 0.526