Brown
Ivy · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#68
−1.2 pts · likely #48–91
Strength of schedule
36.6
#42 of 128
Strength of victory
32.4
#20
Record SOS
0.552
Opp. 57.7% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
29.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Brown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Bryant | W 29-25 | +2.1 | +2.6 | 0.384 | 2 | +7.9 |
| 4 | at Harvard | L 31-34 | +14.0 | +2.6 | 0.696 | 1 | +11.4 |
| 5 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 42-20 | −11.5 | −2.6 | 0.059 | 4 | +7.7 |
| 6 | vs Rhode Island | L 30-34 | +5.2 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Columbia · p 0.310
- Wk 12: vs Dartmouth · p 0.288