Central Connecticut State
NEC · 2-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#112
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#112
−11.8 pts · likely #91–121
Strength of schedule
13.7
#126 of 128
Strength of victory
6.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.382
Opp. 35.1% · Opp. opp. 44.3%
Remaining SOS
22.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-3
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stonehill | L 30-33 | −13.0 | −2.6 | 0.048 | 4 | −17.2 |
| 5 | at Brown | L 20-42 | −1.4 | +2.6 | 0.298 | 2 | −20.7 |
| 6 | vs Delaware State | W 51-44 | −16.6 | −2.6 | 0.028 | 4 | −11.2 |
| 7 | at Duquesne | L 20-44 | −0.8 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Merrimack · p 0.300
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.152
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs American InternationalDII · W 44-0
- Wk 3: at Kent StateFBS · L 10-38