Richmond
CAA · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#34
+7.8 pts · likely #14–54
Strength of schedule
19.9
#117 of 128
Strength of victory
22.7
#55
Record SOS
0.388
Opp. 31.4% · Opp. opp. 53.7%
Remaining SOS
54.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Richmond. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morgan State | L 10-17 | −5.3 | −2.6 | 0.127 | 3 | −12.8 |
| 3 | vs Delaware State | W 38-6 | −15.5 | −2.6 | 0.033 | 4 | +13.8 |
| 4 | at Stony Brook | W 20-19 | −16.2 | +2.6 | 0.062 | 4 | −11.0 |
| 5 | vs Hampton | L 14-31 | −7.3 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Elon · p 0.426
- Wk 12: at William & Mary · p 0.513
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.517
- Wk 14: at UAlbany · p 0.702
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Michigan StateFBS · L 14-45