North Carolina Central
MEAC · 7-0 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#13
+11.9 pts · likely #6–39
Strength of schedule
23.6
#99 of 128
Strength of victory
23.6
#53
Record SOS
0.478
Opp. 43.3% · Opp. opp. 56.8%
Remaining SOS
25.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina A&T | W 30-16 | −5.5 | +2.6 | 0.209 | 3 | +11.2 |
| 4 | vs (N) Mississippi Valley State | W 45-3 | −12.8 | 0.0 | 0.069 | 4 | +21.4 |
| 5 | vs Campbell | W 49-48 OT | +3.5 | −2.6 | 0.293 | 2 | +2.3 |
| 6 | at Elon | W 34-23 | +10.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Howard · p 0.251
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.028
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.492
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 47-21
- Wk 3: at UCLAFBS · L 7-59