Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#111
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#116
−13.6 pts · likely #98–125
Strength of schedule
29.7
#77 of 128
Strength of victory
1.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 43.0%
Remaining SOS
24.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 3-45 | +10.9 | 0.0 | 0.553 | 1 | −23.1 |
| 5 | vs Florida A&M | L 7-31 | +12.3 | −2.6 | 0.520 | 1 | −14.5 |
| 6 | at Prairie View A&M | L 12-31 | −10.2 | +2.6 | 0.129 | 3 | −24.8 |
| 7 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 42-17 | −19.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Alabama State · p 0.270
- Wk 12: at Alabama A&M · p 0.218
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs (N) Central State (OH)DII · L 21-24
- Wk 3: at Delta StateDII · L 7-35