Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#97
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#111
−8.8 pts · likely #81–122
Strength of schedule
37.3
#21 of 130
Strength of victory
11.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.512
Opp. 54.3% · Opp. opp. 45.1%
Remaining SOS
19.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Houston Christian | L 34-46 | −12.7 | −1.4 | 0.059 | 4 | −24.0 |
| 3 | at Lamar | W 21-14 | −12.4 | +1.4 | 0.087 | 4 | −4.8 |
| 4 | vs Idaho State | W 35-14 | −5.8 | −1.4 | 0.136 | 3 | +11.1 |
| 5 | at Idaho | L 35-55 | +11.7 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Portland State · p 0.110
- Wk 11: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.173
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.312
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 10-33