Idaho
Big Sky · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 20% of the time
Power
#17
+11.1 pts · likely #4–39
Strength of schedule
22.8
#113 of 130
Strength of victory
22.8
#35
Record SOS
0.458
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 57.4%
Remaining SOS
45.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Drake | W 42-14 | −16.0 | −1.4 | 0.037 | 4 | +12.0 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | W 27-10 | −3.0 | +1.4 | 0.235 | 3 | +14.6 |
| 5 | vs Northern Colorado | W 55-35 | −8.9 | −1.4 | 0.096 | 4 | +9.9 |
| 7 | at Montana | W 30-23 | +13.9 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Sacramento State · p 0.706
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.249
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.538
- Wk 12: at Idaho State · p 0.132
- Wk 13: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.635
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Washington StateFBS · L 17-24
- Wk 2: at IndianaFBS · L 22-35