Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#86
−3.7 pts · likely #57–107
Strength of schedule
30.6
#56 of 130
Strength of victory
22.8
#36
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 48.6% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
43.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Sam Houston | W 10-3 | +4.9 | +1.4 | 0.426 | 2 | +10.5 |
| 3 | vs North Dakota | L 24-27 | +3.0 | −1.4 | 0.308 | 2 | −2.2 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 10-27 | +10.8 | −1.4 | 0.511 | 1 | −7.2 |
| 5 | at Portland State | L 27-35 | −13.3 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.587
- Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.134
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.596
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 3-40