UC Davis
Big Sky · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#15
+11.4 pts · likely #5–38
Strength of schedule
40.2
#14 of 130
Strength of victory
18.8
#50
Record SOS
0.601
Opp. 68.1% · Opp. opp. 44.1%
Remaining SOS
37.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 22-24 | +13.8 | +1.4 | 0.663 | 1 | +12.2 |
| 3 | vs San Diego | W 43-13 | −2.5 | −1.4 | 0.191 | 3 | +25.1 |
| 4 | vs Weber State | L 12-17 | +13.1 | −1.4 | 0.575 | 1 | +6.7 |
| 5 | at Montana State | L 24-41 | +11.8 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Cal Poly · p 0.108
- Wk 10: vs Idaho State · p 0.096
- Wk 11: at Idaho · p 0.602
- Wk 12: at Sacramento State · p 0.706
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-34