Montana State
Big Sky · 7-0 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 7.1% of the time
Power
#6
+13.0 pts · likely #3–29
Strength of schedule
27.5
#86 of 130
Strength of victory
27.5
#20
Record SOS
0.459
Opp. 40.5% · Opp. opp. 56.6%
Remaining SOS
45.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −9.0 | −1.4 | 0.095 | 4 | +12.9 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −8.6 | −1.4 | 0.099 | 4 | +25.0 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 38-35 | −1.2 | +1.4 | 0.275 | 2 | +3.8 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | W 41-24 | +13.9 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.225
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.146
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.562
- Wk 14: vs Weber State · p 0.596
- Wk 15: vs William & Mary · p 0.543
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.659
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68