Morehead State
Pioneer · 1-5 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#114
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#108
−8.7 pts · likely #79–122
Strength of schedule
34.8
#32 of 130
Strength of victory
1.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.460
Opp. 47.2% · Opp. opp. 43.4%
Remaining SOS
13.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mercer | L 13-63 | +16.0 | +1.4 | 0.715 | 1 | −17.9 |
| 2 | at Montana State | L 13-63 | +12.2 | +1.4 | 0.622 | 1 | −20.7 |
| 4 | at Stetson | L 26-38 | −11.7 | +1.4 | 0.095 | 4 | −19.1 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 14-10 | −22.1 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Butler · p 0.247
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.035
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.109
- Wk 12: vs San Diego · p 0.153
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 49-14