Mercer
Southern · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 31% of the time
Power
#2
+15.8 pts · likely #1–18
Strength of schedule
30.1
#59 of 130
Strength of victory
25.1
#29
Record SOS
0.482
Opp. 47.1% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
33.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −9.1 | −1.4 | 0.093 | 4 | +25.0 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 17-0 | −2.6 | −1.4 | 0.188 | 3 | +13.5 |
| 4 | at Gardner-Webb | W 45-14 | +6.5 | +1.4 | 0.469 | 2 | +35.1 |
| 5 | at Wofford | W 42-7 | −4.5 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at VMI · p 0.087
- Wk 11: vs Furman · p 0.404
- Wk 12: at Samford · p 0.511
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AuburnFBS · L 16-42