Western Carolina
Southern · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#78
−2.5 pts · likely #51–101
Strength of schedule
30.1
#61 of 130
Strength of victory
10.1
#71
Record SOS
0.466
Opp. 46.2% · Opp. opp. 47.5%
Remaining SOS
36.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 52-38 | −4.4 | +1.4 | 0.208 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 77-21 | −18.9 | −1.4 | 0.023 | 4 | +14.2 |
| 4 | at Samford | L 12-35 | +6.2 | +1.4 | 0.462 | 2 | −14.0 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-17 | −11.0 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.127
- Wk 11: at East Tennessee State · p 0.351
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.616
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 17-35