VMI
Southern · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#108
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−12.6 pts · likely #101–128
Strength of schedule
29.3
#71 of 130
Strength of victory
9.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 43.3%
Remaining SOS
38.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against VMI. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Bucknell | W 24-14 | −8.7 | −1.4 | 0.098 | 4 | −1.2 |
| 3 | vs Cornell | L 22-28 | −5.0 | −1.4 | 0.148 | 3 | −11.9 |
| 5 | at Western Carolina | L 17-38 | −3.1 | +1.4 | 0.234 | 3 | −22.2 |
| 6 | vs East Tennessee State | L 21-44 | +0.6 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Mercer · p 0.672
- Wk 10: at Samford · p 0.511
- Wk 11: at Wofford · p 0.170
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.198
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Wake ForestFBS · L 10-44