East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-5 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#57
+1.7 pts · likely #32–83
Strength of schedule
36.2
#26 of 130
Strength of victory
8.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.535
Opp. 57.6% · Opp. opp. 45.3%
Remaining SOS
18.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at The Citadel | L 17-20 | −3.0 | +1.4 | 0.235 | 3 | −3.9 |
| 3 | vs Furman | L 14-27 | +5.3 | −1.4 | 0.367 | 2 | −7.7 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 45-3 | −14.7 | +1.4 | 0.065 | 4 | +19.6 |
| 5 | vs Chattanooga | L 16-24 | +15.2 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Wofford · p 0.170
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.204
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Mars HillDII · W 44-7