The Citadel
Southern · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#75
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#74
−2.2 pts · likely #50–103
Strength of schedule
39.6
#15 of 130
Strength of victory
30.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.518
Opp. 51.1% · Opp. opp. 53.2%
Remaining SOS
38.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | L 10-29 | +7.7 | +1.4 | 0.503 | 1 | −9.4 |
| 2 | vs East Tennessee State | W 20-17 | +2.7 | −1.4 | 0.302 | 2 | +3.4 |
| 3 | at Mercer | L 0-17 | +17.4 | +1.4 | 0.746 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 6 | vs Furman | L 10-21 | +6.3 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Samford · p 0.437
- Wk 10: vs Chattanooga · p 0.616
- Wk 12: at VMI · p 0.087
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at Appalachian StateFBS · L 0-49