Valparaiso
Pioneer · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#82
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#77
−2.4 pts · likely #49–100
Strength of schedule
20.6
#119 of 130
Strength of victory
10.2
#70
Record SOS
0.405
Opp. 36.7% · Opp. opp. 48.3%
Remaining SOS
10.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 21-28 | +5.1 | +1.4 | 0.432 | 2 | −1.3 |
| 3 | at Dartmouth | L 13-35 | +0.5 | +1.4 | 0.314 | 2 | −18.1 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 28-21 | −4.0 | −1.4 | 0.165 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 6 | at Presbyterian | W 41-21 | −20.5 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Dayton · p 0.109
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.212
- Wk 11: at Marist · p 0.052
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.037
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17