San Diego
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#84
−3.6 pts · likely #55–108
Strength of schedule
19.9
#120 of 130
Strength of victory
3.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.271
Opp. 16.0% · Opp. opp. 49.4%
Remaining SOS
22.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Cal Poly | L 27-28 | −8.3 | +1.4 | 0.139 | 3 | −7.4 |
| 3 | at UC Davis | L 13-43 | +9.8 | +1.4 | 0.561 | 1 | −17.3 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | L 21-28 | −3.9 | +1.4 | 0.217 | 3 | −8.1 |
| 6 | at Drake | W 22-10 | −15.6 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.270
- Wk 10: vs Butler · p 0.192
- Wk 11: vs Davidson · p 0.333
- Wk 12: at Morehead State · p 0.113
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs La VerneDIII · W 58-0