Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#99
−7.7 pts · likely #77–119
Strength of schedule
27.5
#87 of 130
Strength of victory
16.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.418
Opp. 38.1% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
47.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 28-27 | −4.2 | −1.4 | 0.161 | 3 | −3.9 |
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 21-38 | −1.3 | +1.4 | 0.274 | 2 | −16.0 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | L 21-49 | +14.7 | −1.4 | 0.615 | 1 | −14.6 |
| 6 | at Northern Arizona | L 29-31 | −3.0 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at UC Davis · p 0.612
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.634
- Wk 11: vs Montana State · p 0.587
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.079
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Fresno StateFBS · L 7-35