Sacramento State
Big Sky · 6-0 vs FCS · 7-0 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 8.9% of the time
Power
#4
+14.7 pts · likely #2–24
Strength of schedule
30.3
#57 of 130
Strength of victory
30.3
#15
Record SOS
0.464
Opp. 42.2% · Opp. opp. 54.9%
Remaining SOS
51.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 56-33 | −8.7 | −1.4 | 0.098 | 4 | +13.4 |
| 3 | at Northern Iowa | W 37-21 | +8.8 | +1.4 | 0.532 | 1 | +24.6 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 49-21 | −7.0 | +1.4 | 0.161 | 3 | +21.6 |
| 6 | vs Northern Colorado | W 55-7 | −7.4 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Idaho · p 0.528
- Wk 10: at Weber State · p 0.666
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.110
- Wk 12: vs UC Davis · p 0.538
- Wk 14: vs Richmond · p 0.577
- Wk 15: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.670
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Colorado StateFBS · W 41-10