Northern Iowa
MVFC · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#28
+7.3 pts · likely #14–56
Strength of schedule
28.8
#74 of 130
Strength of victory
18.6
#51
Record SOS
0.480
Opp. 42.9% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
44.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 27-29 | +1.9 | +1.4 | 0.348 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 3 | vs Sacramento State | L 21-37 | +14.1 | −1.4 | 0.601 | 1 | −2.6 |
| 4 | at Western Illinois | W 52-17 | −5.1 | +1.4 | 0.194 | 3 | +28.2 |
| 5 | vs Indiana State | W 20-14 | −3.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Southern Illinois · p 0.441
- Wk 10: vs South Dakota State · p 0.588
- Wk 12: at South Dakota · p 0.302
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 17-48