Indiana State
MVFC · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#80
−2.8 pts · likely #53–105
Strength of schedule
41.3
#12 of 130
Strength of victory
14.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.538
Opp. 56.1% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
33.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Alabama | W 17-14 OT | −5.3 | −1.4 | 0.143 | 3 | −3.5 |
| 3 | vs Montana | L 14-49 | +9.7 | −1.4 | 0.481 | 2 | −25.0 |
| 5 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-20 | +8.3 | +1.4 | 0.518 | 1 | +2.6 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota State | L 26-31 | +13.6 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at South Dakota State · p 0.659
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota · p 0.301
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.140
- Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.221
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at PurdueFBS · L 0-56