North Dakota State
MVFC · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 40% of the time
Power
#18
+11.0 pts · likely #5–40
Strength of schedule
30.1
#58 of 130
Strength of victory
24.5
#32
Record SOS
0.534
Opp. 52.5% · Opp. opp. 55.1%
Remaining SOS
44.1
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 56-14 | −15.1 | −1.4 | 0.042 | 4 | +19.0 |
| 2 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 43-3 | +3.3 | −1.4 | 0.316 | 2 | +33.8 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | W 34-17 | +0.9 | +1.4 | 0.325 | 2 | +18.0 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 27-14 | +4.0 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Illinois State · p 0.350
- Wk 10: at Western Illinois · p 0.140
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.441
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota · p 0.301
- Wk 14: vs Montana · p 0.562
- Wk 15: vs Samford · p 0.437
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.624
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.670
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArizonaFBS · L 28-31