Montana
Big Sky · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#16
+11.3 pts · likely #4–37
Strength of schedule
29.6
#65 of 130
Strength of victory
17.6
#56
Record SOS
0.520
Opp. 51.9% · Opp. opp. 52.0%
Remaining SOS
47.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northwestern State | W 47-0 | −8.2 | −1.4 | 0.104 | 3 | +24.9 |
| 2 | vs South Dakota | W 24-7 | +0.4 | −1.4 | 0.250 | 2 | +15.4 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | W 49-14 | +0.5 | +1.4 | 0.315 | 2 | +33.5 |
| 4 | vs Portland State | W 53-16 | −8.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Weber State · p 0.666
- Wk 10: vs Cal Poly · p 0.108
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.249
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.658
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.533
- Wk 14: at North Dakota State · p 0.624