Idaho State
Big Sky · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#107
−8.6 pts · likely #79–121
Strength of schedule
33.2
#41 of 130
Strength of victory
12.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.470
Opp. 46.1% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
60.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | L 16-31 | +5.9 | −1.4 | 0.380 | 2 | −9.9 |
| 4 | at Northern Colorado | L 14-35 | −11.3 | +1.4 | 0.099 | 4 | −28.5 |
| 5 | vs Montana | L 20-28 | +14.3 | −1.4 | 0.606 | 1 | +2.0 |
| 6 | at Montana State | L 6-37 | +12.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at UC Davis · p 0.612
- Wk 11: at Weber State · p 0.666
- Wk 12: vs Idaho · p 0.528
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UNLVFBS · L 21-52
- Wk 2: at San Diego StateFBS · L 7-38