Missouri State
MVFC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#63
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#75
−2.3 pts · likely #49–102
Strength of schedule
45.6
#4 of 130
Strength of victory
52.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.638
Opp. 70.0% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
24.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Central Arkansas | W 27-14 | +9.5 | +1.4 | 0.551 | 1 | +20.7 |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 35-30 | +10.1 | −1.4 | 0.492 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 4 | vs South Dakota State | L 14-28 | +13.5 | −1.4 | 0.585 | 1 | −2.4 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 31-48 | +0.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Western Illinois · p 0.103
- Wk 10: at South Dakota · p 0.302
- Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.321
- Wk 12: at Indiana State · p 0.240
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArkansasFBS · L 27-38