Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 75% of the time
Power
#40
+5.3 pts · likely #20–63
Strength of schedule
38.6
#16 of 130
Strength of victory
30.9
#14
Record SOS
0.593
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 57.9%
Remaining SOS
45.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Incarnate Word | L 29-64 | +13.2 | +1.4 | 0.649 | 1 | −18.2 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 31-34 | +11.8 | −1.4 | 0.540 | 1 | +7.3 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | W 34-17 | +4.7 | −1.4 | 0.350 | 2 | +17.8 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 19-14 | +5.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.423
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota State · p 0.551
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.391
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · W 31-24