Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 6-0 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#14
+11.6 pts · likely #4–36
Strength of schedule
24.8
#106 of 130
Strength of victory
24.8
#30
Record SOS
0.541
Opp. 52.8% · Opp. opp. 56.7%
Remaining SOS
31.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern Illinois | W 34-31 | +5.2 | +1.4 | 0.435 | 2 | +9.6 |
| 3 | vs Nicholls State | W 42-16 | −9.3 | −1.4 | 0.091 | 4 | +15.2 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 35-27 | +6.3 | −1.4 | 0.391 | 2 | +13.1 |
| 5 | at Lindenwood | W 49-28 | −3.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.276
- Wk 10: at Tennessee State · p 0.453
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.169
- Wk 12: vs Murray State · p 0.035
- Wk 13: at Montana · p 0.634
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 10-42