Nicholls State
Southland · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#116
−9.5 pts · likely #85–123
Strength of schedule
33.5
#39 of 130
Strength of victory
11.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.525
Opp. 56.1% · Opp. opp. 45.1%
Remaining SOS
34.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 16-42 | +11.1 | +1.4 | 0.593 | 1 | −13.1 |
| 4 | vs Jacksonville State | L 21-52 | +8.3 | −1.4 | 0.445 | 2 | −23.7 |
| 5 | at Northwestern State | L 33-36 | −10.0 | +1.4 | 0.116 | 3 | −10.5 |
| 6 | at Houston Christian | W 19-17 | −9.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Lamar · p 0.081
- Wk 11: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.386
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.563
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at South AlabamaFBS · L 7-48
- Wk 2: at UL MonroeFBS · L 7-35