Jacksonville State
ASUN · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#21
+8.6 pts · likely #10–49
Strength of schedule
25.7
#96 of 130
Strength of victory
21.9
#42
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 47.9% · Opp. opp. 56.1%
Remaining SOS
40.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Jacksonville State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Stephen F. Austin | W 42-17 | +5.7 | 0.0 | 0.413 | 2 | +28.0 |
| 1 | vs Davidson | W 35-17 | +5.7 | −1.4 | 0.376 | 2 | +21.5 |
| 2 | at Murray State | W 34-3 | −15.4 | +1.4 | 0.059 | 4 | +16.4 |
| 4 | at Nicholls State | W 52-21 | −7.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Austin Peay · p 0.493
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.276
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.459
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at TulsaFBS · L 17-54