Stephen F. Austin
WAC · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 61% of the time
Power
#49
+3.0 pts · likely #26–77
Strength of schedule
36.7
#23 of 130
Strength of victory
35.6
#4
Record SOS
0.655
Opp. 78.1% · Opp. opp. 40.5%
Remaining SOS
29.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Jacksonville State | L 17-42 | +7.6 | 0.0 | 0.462 | 2 | −16.4 |
| 1 | at Alcorn State | W 31-27 | +3.0 | +1.4 | 0.378 | 2 | +7.7 |
| 5 | vs (N) Sam Houston | L 16-17 | +2.0 | 0.0 | 0.317 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 6 | vs Abilene Christian | W 41-38 | +4.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Utah Tech · p 0.102
- Wk 11: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.386
- Wk 12: at Abilene Christian · p 0.393
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Louisiana TechFBS · L 17-52
- Wk 4: vs WarnerNon-NCAA · W 98-0