Alcorn State
SWAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#53
+2.4 pts · likely #29–81
Strength of schedule
23.7
#110 of 130
Strength of victory
10.4
#69
Record SOS
0.388
Opp. 29.4% · Opp. opp. 57.6%
Remaining SOS
34.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stephen F. Austin | L 27-31 | +2.1 | −1.4 | 0.287 | 2 | −2.3 |
| 3 | at McNeese | W 30-19 | −8.6 | +1.4 | 0.136 | 3 | +3.5 |
| 4 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 38-21 | −8.1 | −1.4 | 0.105 | 3 | +7.5 |
| 6 | at Mississippi Valley State | W 30-7 | −14.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Grambling State · p 0.170
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.406
- Wk 11: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.102
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.695
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TulaneFBS · L 0-52