Southern
SWAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 66% of the time
Power
#23
+8.2 pts · likely #8–56
Strength of schedule
29.7
#64 of 130
Strength of victory
31.2
#13
Record SOS
0.452
Opp. 44.2% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
40.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs (N) Texas Southern | L 0-24 | −0.9 | 0.0 | 0.252 | 2 | −20.1 |
| 5 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 59-3 | −5.5 | −1.4 | 0.140 | 3 | +25.5 |
| 6 | at Prairie View A&M | W 45-13 | +8.1 | +1.4 | 0.514 | 1 | +37.1 |
| 7 | vs Alcorn State | W 21-17 | +1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Jackson State · p 0.757
- Wk 10: at Florida A&M · p 0.325
- Wk 11: vs Mississippi Valley State · p 0.043
- Wk 13: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.148
- Wk 14: at Jackson State · p 0.757
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Florida Memorial UniversityNon-NCAA · W 86-0
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 17-65
- Wk 8: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 51-7