Tarleton State
WAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 75% of the time
Power
#65
+0.4 pts · likely #33–95
Strength of schedule
24.6
#108 of 130
Strength of victory
22.0
#41
Record SOS
0.389
Opp. 27.5% · Opp. opp. 61.7%
Remaining SOS
20.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 29-13 | −15.2 | −1.4 | 0.042 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 43-28 | −3.5 | +1.4 | 0.225 | 3 | +11.1 |
| 6 | at Southern Utah | W 42-40 | +3.7 | +1.4 | 0.395 | 2 | +5.5 |
| 7 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 24-41 | +0.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Sam Houston · p 0.291
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.323
- Wk 11: at Utah Tech · p 0.140
- Wk 12: vs Houston Christian · p 0.080
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TCUFBS · L 17-59
- Wk 3: vs Eastern New MexicoDII · W 41-6
- Wk 8: vs Southwest BaptistDII · W 24-10