Stetson
Pioneer · 1-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#112
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#105
−8.4 pts · likely #76–124
Strength of schedule
19.3
#124 of 130
Strength of victory
9.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.460
Opp. 49.2% · Opp. opp. 39.5%
Remaining SOS
18.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stetson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Princeton | L 14-39 | +12.1 | −1.4 | 0.546 | 1 | −13.6 |
| 4 | vs Morehead State | W 38-26 | −8.6 | −1.4 | 0.099 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 6 | vs Marist | L 31-45 | −19.4 | −1.4 | 0.022 | 4 | −29.6 |
| 8 | at Dayton | L 20-23 | −11.0 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Drake · p 0.037
- Wk 10: at Davidson · p 0.403
- Wk 11: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.270
- Wk 12: vs Presbyterian · p 0.017
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Concordia College (MI)Non-NCAA · W 24-14
- Wk 2: vs Louisiana Christian UniversityNon-NCAA · W 45-14