Dayton
Pioneer · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#112
−8.9 pts · likely #82–123
Strength of schedule
12.3
#130 of 130
Strength of victory
6.1
#73
Record SOS
0.362
Opp. 29.4% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
17.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Robert Morris | W 22-20 | −17.9 | +1.4 | 0.041 | 4 | −13.4 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 16-49 | +0.7 | +1.4 | 0.320 | 2 | −29.2 |
| 5 | vs Drake | W 27-14 | −15.0 | −1.4 | 0.042 | 4 | −3.0 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 0-31 | −6.3 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Valparaiso · p 0.177
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.026
- Wk 11: vs Morehead State · p 0.081
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.403
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky StateDII · W 46-3