Marist
Pioneer · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#117
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−14.3 pts · likely #108–129
Strength of schedule
15.6
#129 of 130
Strength of victory
13.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.404
Opp. 36.9% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
10.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Georgetown | L 12-43 | −15.4 | −1.4 | 0.040 | 4 | −43.6 |
| 3 | vs Columbia | L 3-38 | +2.2 | −1.4 | 0.290 | 2 | −32.2 |
| 4 | at Drake | W 30-25 | −15.0 | +1.4 | 0.063 | 4 | −8.4 |
| 5 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | L 24-38 | −1.5 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Presbyterian · p 0.017
- Wk 10: at Morehead State · p 0.113
- Wk 11: vs Valparaiso · p 0.177
- Wk 12: at Bucknell · p 0.111