Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 6.7% of the time
Power
#19
+10.8 pts · likely #10–40
Strength of schedule
45.1
#16 of 128
Strength of victory
38.4
#6
Record SOS
0.534
Opp. 51.0% · Opp. opp. 58.4%
Remaining SOS
37.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 34-27 | +1.9 | −2.4 | 0.261 | 2 | +6.4 |
| 2 | vs Incarnate Word | W 38-28 | +12.4 | −2.4 | 0.528 | 1 | +18.6 |
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 35-23 | −9.7 | +2.4 | 0.133 | 3 | +5.5 |
| 4 | at Montana State | L 14-28 | +22.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Southern Utah · p 0.549
- Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.367
- Wk 11: vs Weber State · p 0.338
- Wk 12: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.259
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 7-35