Idaho State
Big Sky · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#34
+6.3 pts · likely #17–59
Strength of schedule
30.2
#68 of 128
Strength of victory
22.4
#43
Record SOS
0.482
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 44.7%
Remaining SOS
45.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs VMI | W 38-10 | −24.1 | −2.4 | 0.008 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 59-17 | −9.2 | −2.4 | 0.082 | 4 | +22.6 |
| 4 | at Southern Utah | W 28-24 | +9.7 | +2.4 | 0.583 | 1 | +15.1 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | L 31-38 | +10.3 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Portland State · p 0.189
- Wk 9: at Utah Tech · p 0.146
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.768
- Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.760
- Wk 12: vs Idaho · p 0.393
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Utah StateFBS · W 29-17