VMI
Southern · 0-6 vs FCS · 0-7 overall
Strength of record
#121
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−23.0 pts · likely #120–127
Strength of schedule
28.5
#79 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.362
Opp. 35.0% · Opp. opp. 38.5%
Remaining SOS
41.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against VMI. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Idaho State | L 10-38 | +7.2 | +2.4 | 0.516 | 1 | −19.3 |
| 2 | vs Bucknell | L 3-14 | −9.9 | −2.4 | 0.074 | 4 | −23.1 |
| 3 | at Davidson | L 24-27 OT | −29.3 | +2.4 | 0.007 | 4 | −28.2 |
| 4 | at Samford | L 7-45 | −7.3 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.488
- Wk 9: at Chattanooga · p 0.523
- Wk 10: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.684
- Wk 11: vs The Citadel · p 0.110
- Wk 12: vs Furman · p 0.274
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Virginia TechFBS · L 3-73